Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:19:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd991…faea
sports · 382 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$501 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$501 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$216
Realized−$501
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses195 / 183
Est. fees paid−$811
Open positions4
Markets (closed)378 / 382
History coverage91d
Avg bet$141
Trades / day18.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 378 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$10
14 days−$794
30 days−$1,351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 43¢ 44¢ $72 $72 +$0 (+0%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 51¢ 52¢ $72 $72 +$0 (+0%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 31¢ 32¢ $36 $37 +$1 (+2%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 42¢ 42¢ $36 $36 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $122 −$122 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $183 −$183 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 12 $183 −$183 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $183 −$3 -2%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $183 −$183 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $183 −$183 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $183 +$269 +147%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $183 +$293 +160%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $183 +$166 +91%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $183 +$162 +89%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $183 −$183 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $219 +$199 +91%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $183 +$170 +93%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $183 +$162 +88%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $183 +$165 +90%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $183 +$126 +69%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $183 −$183 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $183 −$183 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $183 +$236 +129%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $183 +$148 +81%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $182 −$182 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 08 $183 −$183 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 08 $183 −$183 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 08 $183 −$183 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $183 +$180 +99%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 07 $183 +$163 +89%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $183 −$183 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 07 $183 −$183 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 07 $73 −$15 -20%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $183 +$133 +73%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $183 +$138 +75%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 06 $183 −$183 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $183 −$183 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $183 +$184 +100%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 05 $182 −$182 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 05 $184 −$184 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $220 −$220 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 04 $183 +$129 +71%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 03 $183 +$203 +111%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 03 $182 −$182 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 03 $183 −$183 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $122 +$149 +122%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 03 $183 +$157 +86%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 02 $183 −$183 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 01 $183 −$183 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics Jun 01 $183 −$183 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 31 $182 +$122 +67%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $183 −$183 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros May 30 $183 +$155 +85%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers May 30 $37 +$25 +69%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$501
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 52¢ $37 0m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 42¢ $37 26m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 44¢ $37 35m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 31¢ $37 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 51¢ $37 2h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 43¢ $37 2h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 49¢ $179 14h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $24 18h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 48¢ $37 18h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $24 19h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 49¢ $37 19h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $24 21h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 49¢ $37 21h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $37 23h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $24 23h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 48¢ $37 23h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 52¢ $91 24h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $37 24h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 52¢ $91 24h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $24 25h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 48¢ $37 25h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $37 26h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $37 28h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $37 30h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies SELL Colorado Rockies 99¢ $91 35h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies SELL Colorado Rockies 99¢ $91 35h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies SELL Colorado Rockies 99¢ $89 35h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies SELL Colorado Rockies 99¢ $89 35h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies SELL Colorado Rockies 99¢ $91 35h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 94¢ $94 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -1.7% -11.1% 47% 47% -9.4%
≤30d 139 -2.5% -11.8% 51% 51% -14.5%
≤90d 378 +1.2% -8.5% 52% 52% -10.4%
all 378 +1.2% -8.5% 52% 52% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 52% -10.4%
10% -17.2% 50% -18.9%
15% -25.2% 49% -26.8%
20% -32.6% 46% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $216.17 · official $216.17 (match) · 1961 history records