Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:39:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd9ab…3dad
crypto · 42 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$66 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$35
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses14 / 24
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)38 / 42
History coverage157d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 4 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ 55¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Spain 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? No 66¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Over 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $21 +$18 +84%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $24 −$3 -13%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 14 $30 −$22 -71%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$3 -65%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $20 +$20 +97%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 −$6 -56%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? Jan 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jan 10 $40 −$2 -5%
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jan 10 $146 −$104 -71%
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jan 10 $437 +$7 +2%
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jan 10 $137 +$6 +4%
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jan 10 $16 −$16 -100%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Jan 10 $15 −$2 -13%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jan 09 $140 +$7 +5%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jan 09 $10 −$6 -63%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jan 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jan 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jan 09 $10 +$9 +89%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jan 09 $129 +$6 +5%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jan 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jan 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jan 09 $10 +$7 +74%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jan 09 $4 +$5 +135%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jan 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jan 09 $100 +$45 +45%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jan 09 $4 −$3 -83%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jan 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jan 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jan 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jan 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jan 09 $4 +$19 +485%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jan 09 $20 +$16 +82%
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jan 09 $20 −$1 -4%
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jan 09 $15 +$14 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$37
sports 10% −$4
other 6% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 18m
Spread: Spain (-2.5) BUY Spain 51¢ $10 20m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $5 33m
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $15 37m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 25¢ $3 45m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 99¢ $39 46m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 53¢ $21 52m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) SELL Curaçao 41¢ $21 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Curaçao 45¢ $24 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Curaçao 15¢ $9 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 53¢ $9 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $3 2h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 2h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Curaçao 51¢ $30 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $40 13h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $20 15h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 26¢ $4 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 16h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $9 37h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 37h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 37h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 37h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 61¢ $10 37h
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? BUY No 66¢ $40 155d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $20 155d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $20 155d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $42 155d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $146 155d
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $143 155d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -26.7% -33.7% 30% 30% -18.1%
≤30d 10 -26.7% -33.7% 30% 30% -18.1%
≤90d 10 -26.7% -33.7% 30% 30% -18.1%
all 38 -15.4% -23.5% 37% 26% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.5% 26% -15.1%
10% -30.8% 26% -23.3%
15% -37.5% 26% -30.7%
20% -43.6% 24% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.14 · official $35.14 (match) · 88 history records