Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:07:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd9ca…f253
crypto · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,632 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,652 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$73
Realized+$1,652
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses94 / 46
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)140 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$622
Trades / day3107.0
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,652
7 days+$1,652
14 days+$1,652
30 days+$1,652
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $39 $54 +$15 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 64¢ 72¢ $10 $12 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+26%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+13%)
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$128 -16313%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$57 -7122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$23 -2877%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$62 -11540%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$66 -14913%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$75 -16016%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$68 -18689%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$24 -7137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$139 -49291%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$22 -9177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$76 -31828%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$71 -28860%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$61 -30877%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$87 -37609%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$85 -60811%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$106 -90987%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$129 -132191%
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$19 +6186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$76 -22345%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$138 +306732%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$40 +24425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$40 +64682%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$26 +183878%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$20 +47090%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$29 +23620%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -360%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$58 +173310%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$18 +58824%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$53 +356562%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$11 +26272%
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$26 +20510%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$127 +219024%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$176 +1300044%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$20 +194574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$103 +103743%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$9 +4475%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$17 -9671%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +6800%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$43 +107777%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$9 +106263%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$4 +6508%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -12129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1382%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$10 +28569%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$12 +40766%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +532%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$257
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $19 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $24 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $21 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $13 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $24 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $24 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+861.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 +963.1% +861.9% 67% 54% -8.7%
≤30d 140 +963.1% +861.9% 67% 54% -8.7%
≤90d 140 +963.1% +861.9% 67% 54% -8.7%
all 140 +963.1% +861.9% 67% 54% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3107.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +861.9% 54% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here +769.8% 52% -17.4%
15% +685.8% 51% -25.4%
20% +608.8% 51% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73.22 · official $58.12 · 3500 history records