Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:07:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd9d2…5963
other · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$929 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,014 · open +$89
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY Fresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$775
Realized−$1,014
Unrealized+$89
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses6 / 6
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions7
Markets (closed)12 / 22
History coverage172d
Avg bet$116
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit45%
Chart Positions 7 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$63
7 days+$63
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $348 $346 −$2 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $321 $339 +$18 (+5%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) United States 8¢ 80¢ $9 $86 +$77 (+857%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 5¢ 12¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+161%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 2¢ 4¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+85%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 +$5 +477%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $11 +$33 +294%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7 +$7 +111%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$10 +203%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $27 −$16 -59%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11 +$18 +158%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $37 +$15 +41%
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Jun 05 $132 −$66 -50%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? Feb 17 $198 −$198 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? Jan 26 $337 −$313 -93%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? Dec 30 $690 −$500 -72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 48% −$1,011
other 45% +$41
sports 7% +$45
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 24¢ $6 4m
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 93¢ $44 8m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $14 12m
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 9¢ $4 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $6 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $15 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $7 9h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 8¢ $5 9h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $5 9h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $10 9h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14 BUY 4¢ $10 12h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-1 BUY 9¢ $10 13h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND BUY 15¢ $10 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $22 18h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $11 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $52 28h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $37 34h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 38h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $330 3d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $332 3d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $14 7d
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? SELL Yes 7¢ $10 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+48.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +135.6% +113.2% 75% 75% +49.3%
≤30d 9 +115.0% +94.5% 67% 67% -10.7%
≤90d 9 +115.0% +94.5% 67% 67% -10.7%
all 12 +63.6% +48.0% 50% 50% -68.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +48.0% 50% -68.4%
10% +33.8% 50% -71.4%
15% +20.9% 50% -74.2%
20% +9.0% 42% -76.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $775.44 · official $795.44 · 198 history records