Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:43:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D9 0xd9e4…6385 crypto 1674 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$753 (-2%) realized −$753 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate79%1520W / 396L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day94.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,492
7 days−$1,588
14 days−$2,086
30 days−$2,206
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$672
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 730 -34.2% -40.5% 58% 27% -24.8%
≤30d 1916 -13.6% -21.9% 79% 23% -13.8%
≤90d 1916 -13.6% -21.9% 79% 23% -13.8%
all 1916 -13.6% -21.9% 79% 23% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.9% 23% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -29.3% 4% -22.0%
15% -36.2% 0% -29.6%
20% -42.4% 0% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
67% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -26% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$13 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$753
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1520 / 396
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1916 / 1674
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day94.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1916 Trades
no open positions (387 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records