Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:15:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D9 0xd9e7…4dc1 crypto 507 markets active 3h ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (312 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,385 (-14%) realized −$1,385 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate38%195W / 312L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day311.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$1,124
14 days−$1,197
30 days−$1,197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,197
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (312 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 480 -9.9% -18.5% 37% 35% -21.5%
≤30d 507 -8.2% -17.0% 38% 36% -20.9%
≤90d 507 -8.2% -17.0% 38% 36% -20.9%
all 507 -8.2% -17.0% 38% 36% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover311.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 36% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 33% -28.4%
15% -32.2% 30% -35.3%
20% -38.8% 28% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$10 · ×0.97 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,385
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses195 / 312
Open positions0
Markets (closed)507 / 507
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$19
Trades / day311.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 507 Trades
no open positions (28 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $6 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$13 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 20 $15 −$10 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 20 $11 +$5 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $18 +$7 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $12 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 20 $21 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 20 $13 +$12 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$3 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 20 $16 +$5 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$8 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 20 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 20 $12 +$10 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 20 $14 +$4 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 20 $15 −$6 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$8 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $3 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 20 $11 +$3 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 20 $17 −$17 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $21 +$20 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 20 $13 +$11 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$15 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 20 $27 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 20 $18 −$17 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $24 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 20 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records