Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:10:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd9ea…22aa
crypto · 83 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17,290 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17,152 · open −$139
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$773
Realized−$17,152
Unrealized−$139
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses53 / 188
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)241 / 83
History coverage1d
Avg bet$605
Trades / day3418.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17,152
7 days−$17,152
14 days−$17,152
30 days−$17,152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $546 $771 +$226 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $140 $1 −$139 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $167 $0 −$167 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $234 $0 −$234 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $177 $0 −$177 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $133 $0 −$133 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $167 −$167 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $170 −$170 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $143 −$143 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $148 −$148 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $234 −$234 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $177 −$177 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $128 −$128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $169 −$169 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $169 −$169 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $123 −$123 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $189 −$189 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $245 −$245 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $181 −$181 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $183 −$183 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$126 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $153 −$153 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $233 −$233 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $212 −$212 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $167 −$167 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$557
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $24 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $43 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $46 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $21 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $67 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $12 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $98 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $71 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $76 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $19 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $23 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $19 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $46 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $51 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $17 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $23 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-67.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 241 -63.5% -67.0% 22% 15% -32.6%
≤30d 241 -63.5% -67.0% 22% 15% -32.6%
≤90d 241 -63.5% -67.0% 22% 15% -32.6%
all 241 -63.5% -67.0% 22% 15% -32.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3418.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -67.0% 15% -32.6%
10% ← realistic here -70.1% 7% -39.0%
15% -73.0% 3% -44.9%
20% -75.7% 0% -50.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $772.66 · official $767.66 (match) · 3500 history records