Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D9
0xd9ef…17ff
crypto · 69 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses42 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)69 / 69
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day69.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$35
14 days−$35
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +63%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $32 −$32 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -70%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $9 +$6 +67%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$5
other 11% −$42
tech 3% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -5.9% -14.9% 61% 57% -17.1%
≤30d 69 -5.9% -14.9% 61% 57% -17.1%
≤90d 69 -5.9% -14.9% 61% 57% -17.1%
all 69 -5.9% -14.9% 61% 57% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 57% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 39% -25.0%
15% -30.5% 26% -32.3%
20% -37.3% 17% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 247 history records