Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda03…4fe5
other · 16 markets active 2h ago
8.5score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$17
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses15 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)15 / 16
Avg bet$14
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 1 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $17 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $16 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $9 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $15 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $11 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2? Jun 02 $13 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026? Jun 01 $12 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 31 $11 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $7 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 28? May 29 $18 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $13 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23? May 23 $12 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $26 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% $0
crypto 38% $0
weather 8% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 15 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 15 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 15 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.70 · official $16.70 (match) · 31 history records