Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:23:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda13…0660
crypto · 21 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized−$8
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses10 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)20 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 1 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $34 $33 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Canada leading at halftime? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 +$3 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3 −$1 -50%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +67%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Jonathan David: 1+ goals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 50% +$10
other 43% −$19
sports 7% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $35 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 60¢ $3 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 12¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 27¢ $3 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 23¢ $3 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $2 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 58¢ $2 2h
Switzerland leading at halftime? SELL Yes 93¢ $3 2h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 63¢ $2 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $1 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $13 27h
Canada leading at halftime? BUY Yes 37¢ $4 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -9.4% -18.1% 50% 50% -16.8%
≤30d 20 -9.4% -18.1% 50% 50% -16.8%
≤90d 20 -9.4% -18.1% 50% 50% -16.8%
all 20 -9.4% -18.1% 50% 50% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 50% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 45% -24.8%
15% -33.1% 40% -32.1%
20% -39.6% 35% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.36 · official $33.36 (match) · 43 history records