Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:29:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda19…10bf
crypto · 1760 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$343 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$343 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$343
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses786 / 1220
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2006 / 1760
History coverage12d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day257.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2006 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$284
7 days−$295
14 days−$343
30 days−$343
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+111%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -725%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -1688%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -3086%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -641%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -1497%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1277 -21.1% -28.6% 43% 43% -27.0%
≤30d 2006 -15.4% -23.4% 39% 39% -22.3%
≤90d 2006 -15.4% -23.4% 39% 39% -22.3%
all 2006 -15.4% -23.4% 39% 39% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover257.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 39% -22.3%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 39% -29.7%
15% -37.4% 38% -36.5%
20% -43.6% 32% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.36 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records