Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T03:39:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DA 0xda25…784a crypto 31 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (197 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$4,538 (+14%) realized +$4,538 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate32%10W / 21L
Whale WR25%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,011per market
Trades / day197.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,136
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (197 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+0.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +10.6% +0.0% 32% 32% -15.7%
≤30d 31 +10.6% +0.0% 32% 32% -15.7%
≤90d 31 +10.6% +0.0% 32% 32% -15.7%
all 31 +10.6% +0.0% 32% 32% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover197.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.0% 32% -15.7%
10% -9.5% 32% -23.8%
15% ← realistic here -18.3% 32% -31.2%
20% -26.3% 32% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 38% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 25% (≥$1,249) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +13% → late +8% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
6.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,987 vs −$1,048 · ×1.9 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,538
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses10 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)31 / 31
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,011
Trades / day197.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 31 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $982 −$932 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $1,321 −$1,256 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $2,022 −$2,022 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 23 $951 +$4,312 +454%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 23 $950 −$950 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 23 $1,249 −$1,249 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 23 $999 −$999 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 23 $1,382 +$1,793 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 23 $999 −$999 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $683 +$1,762 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 23 $1,692 −$1,692 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $1,319 +$2,054 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $2,096 −$2,096 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 22 $938 +$1,382 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 22 $944 −$944 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 22 $52 −$8 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 22 $1,040 −$982 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 22 $942 −$900 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 22 $1,664 −$1,664 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 22 $956 −$956 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 22 $944 −$944 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $518 +$496 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 22 $866 +$3,235 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 22 $938 +$1,318 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 22 $937 +$1,207 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 22 $1,001 −$954 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 22 $1,045 −$1,045 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 22 $502 +$2,317 +461%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 22 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 22 $1,045 −$1,045 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 22 $312 −$312 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $262 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $105 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $57 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $105 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $106 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $83 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $264 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $105 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $262 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $330 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $105 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $212 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $195 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $105 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $105 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $485 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $262 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $143 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $262 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $262 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5,263 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 213 history records