Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:05:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda54…b8a1
sports · 1011 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
−$28 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$24
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses547 / 473
Est. fees paid−$415
Open positions23
Markets (closed)1020 / 1011
History coverage23d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day120.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 23 History 1020 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$230
7 days−$675
14 days+$8
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 40¢ 38¢ $40 $38 −$2 (-6%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes 15¢ 12¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-17%)
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-21%)
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+93%)
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+50%)
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+17%)
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-6%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-35%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-6%)
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-12%)
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+17%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-37%)
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-37%)
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-62%)
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) St. Louis Cardinals 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 83¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $99 +$109 +110%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $11 −$7 -60%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $80 −$80 -99%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 13 $14 +$4 +28%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $22 +$3 +12%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $17 +$3 +18%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $16 $0 -1%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $12 +$2 +17%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 13 $14 −$5 -34%
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Jun 13 $8 +$1 +14%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 13 $42 +$8 +19%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $38 −$7 -19%
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Jun 13 $12 +$2 +17%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $116 +$2 +2%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $15 −$1 -8%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $49 +$20 +42%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 13 $2 +$7 +344%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 13 $22 −$9 -40%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $23 +$5 +23%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 +$2 +36%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $12 +$4 +33%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Jun 13 $6 −$2 -29%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $93 −$12 -12%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $15 +$5 +34%
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) Jun 13 $25 −$15 -62%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $11 −$7 -60%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $56 +$54 +98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$57
other 1% +$21
weather 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 79¢ $5 7h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 79¢ $5 7h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $5 7h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 46¢ $5 7h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 46¢ $5 7h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $7 8h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $5 8h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $5 8h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 46¢ $5 8h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $5 8h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $6 8h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 79¢ $5 8h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 79¢ $21 9h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 79¢ $5 9h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 79¢ $8 9h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $5 11h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $5 11h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $5 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 93¢ $4 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 95¢ $4 12h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 76¢ $4 12h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 91¢ $4 12h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 70¢ $3 12h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 22¢ $2 12h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 83¢ $4 12h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 96¢ $5 12h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 66¢ $3 12h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 51¢ $2 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 26¢ $2 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 88¢ $4 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 772 -3.4% -12.6% 53% 48% -12.2%
≤30d 1020 -2.4% -11.7% 54% 49% -9.3%
≤90d 1020 -2.4% -11.7% 54% 49% -9.3%
all 1020 -2.4% -11.7% 54% 49% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover120.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 49% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 39% -18.0%
15% -27.8% 28% -25.9%
20% -34.9% 22% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.57 · official $47.58 (match) · 3500 history records