Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:07:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda5f…2e9b
sports · 1492 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$79,855 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$109,272 · open +$611
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,611
Realized−$109,272
Unrealized+$611
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses812 / 679
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$9,241
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1491 / 1492
History coverage195d
Avg bet$1,774
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 1491 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,021
7 days+$4,163
14 days+$6,331
30 days+$1,931
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 45¢ 72¢ $1,000 $1,611 +$611 (+61%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Ninjas in Pyjamas 64¢ 0¢ $1,400 $0 −$1,400 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MIBR 36¢ 0¢ $2,100 $0 −$2,100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 76¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jakub Mensik 24¢ 0¢ $1,300 $0 −$1,300 (-100%)
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin Liaoning Flying Leopards 70¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Qinwen Zheng 72¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 71¢ 0¢ $1,750 $0 −$1,750 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 76¢ 0¢ $984 $0 −$984 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 73¢ 0¢ $1,300 $0 −$1,300 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko Qinwen Zheng 57¢ 0¢ $2,800 $0 −$2,800 (-100%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 68¢ 0¢ $1,230 $0 −$1,230 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 41¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro Victoria Mboko 64¢ 0¢ $2,300 $0 −$2,300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 41¢ 0¢ $774 $0 −$774 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 0¢ $1,501 $0 −$1,501 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $1,205 $0 −$1,205 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 55¢ 0¢ $1,100 $0 −$1,100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 55¢ 0¢ $1,600 $0 −$1,600 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Pistons 39¢ 0¢ $2,085 $0 −$2,085 (-100%)
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks Beijing Ducks 61¢ 0¢ $2,500 $0 −$2,500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2,007 +$240 +12%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,011 +$575 +57%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $1,501 +$43 +3%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $898 +$354 +40%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,825 +$1,567 +86%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,611 +$439 +27%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,713 +$2,112 +123%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1,220 −$1,205 -99%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,005 +$214 +21%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $1,517 −$1,501 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,558 +$967 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $991 −$984 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2,002 +$545 +27%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $788 −$774 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $703 +$86 +12%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $915 +$1,045 +114%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1,311 −$1,300 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $2,656 +$315 +12%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $1,175 +$695 +59%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $1,014 −$82 -8%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $458 +$565 +124%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1,328 −$1,278 -96%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1,371 +$1,382 +101%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $1,242 −$1,230 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1,765 −$1,750 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,622 −$1,600 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,417 +$912 +64%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,215 +$852 +70%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $1,106 +$505 +46%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $1,366 +$884 +65%
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Jun 09 $1,057 +$575 +54%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,482 +$1,621 +109%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $1,513 −$1,500 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $1,918 +$873 +46%
Chwalinska vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 06 $1,408 +$664 +47%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1,426 +$2,805 +197%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $1,330 −$1,300 -98%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro May 23 $2,325 −$2,300 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs May 23 $2,140 −$2,100 -98%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 09 $2,123 −$2,085 -98%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenko May 09 $2,836 −$2,800 -99%
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks May 09 $2,529 −$2,500 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 09 $1,115 −$1,100 -99%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 09 $1,415 −$1,400 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 09 $1,221 −$1,200 -98%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves May 09 $2,525 +$1,263 +50%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 09 $1,511 −$1,511 -100%
Cagliari: Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini May 09 $1,026 −$1,026 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger Chin May 09 $1,518 −$1,518 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi May 09 $2,118 −$2,118 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$106,213
other 4% −$4,050
world 0% +$1,606
crypto 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $2,247 24m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $1,586 25m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 89¢ $1,003 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 89¢ $1,003 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 45¢ $1,016 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL Vitality 100¢ $1,545 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $1,252 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 63¢ $1,011 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $3,393 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY Vitality 97¢ $1,501 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 71¢ $504 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $2,049 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 71¢ $393 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 78¢ $1,611 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 53¢ $1,825 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $3,825 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $1,713 11h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 59¢ $1,220 15h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $1,517 20h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $1,005 20h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 76¢ $991 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $1,558 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $2,547 27h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 41¢ $788 30h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $788 30h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $2,002 31h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $1,960 31h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $703 32h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 46¢ $915 32h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 73¢ $1,311 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +9.7% -0.7% 68% 65% -1.4%
≤30d 39 +7.0% -3.2% 64% 62% -6.3%
≤90d 918 -43.7% -49.0% 36% 35% -36.3%
all 1491 -4.7% -13.8% 54% 53% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 53% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 48% -21.6%
15% -29.6% 41% -29.1%
20% -36.5% 32% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,611.11 · official $1,611.11 (match) · 3500 history records