Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:32:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda6c…8b78
sports · 56 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$99 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$105 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized+$105
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses10 / 40
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions6
Markets (closed)50 / 56
History coverage134d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 6 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$58
14 days+$46
30 days+$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Over 26¢ 24¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Syria win on 2026-06-09? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the US strike Cuba next? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Guatemala vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Under 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Georgia vs. Bahrain end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the US strike Syria next? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 +$8 +152%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$27 +530%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 +$33 +214%
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Syria win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Australia vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 08 $5 +$15 +299%
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Thailand vs. Kuwait end in a draw? Jun 05 $5 +$13 +262%
Will Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Georgia vs. Bahrain end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Guatemala vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? May 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Apr 26 $30 −$1 -5%
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw? Apr 26 $10 +$36 +364%
Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? Apr 26 $7 −$7 -98%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? Apr 26 $10 −$10 -98%
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Mar 24 $50 +$200 +400%
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? Feb 28 $50 −$41 -82%
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026? Feb 27 $5 −$4 -79%
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? Feb 25 $20 −$7 -33%
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei Feb 25 $10 −$2 -20%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Feb 25 $5 −$1 -21%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? Feb 25 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 23? Feb 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11? Feb 23 $20 +$16 +82%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Feb 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? Feb 23 $20 −$20 -100%
US strike on Cuba by March 31? Feb 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? Feb 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5 Feb 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10? Feb 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Feb 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11? Feb 11 $10 −$10 -100%
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? Feb 11 $1 $0 -47%
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? Feb 11 $25 +$89 +354%
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Feb 10 $10 −$10 -100%
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? Feb 07 $10 −$4 -43%
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? Feb 05 $10 −$7 -70%
Will the US strike Cuba next? Feb 04 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Feb 02 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the US strike Syria next? Jan 31 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the US strike Iran next? Jan 31 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? Jan 31 $33 −$33 -100%
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Jan 31 $250 +$24 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 54% +$87
sports 21% +$149
other 15% −$50
crypto 6% −$50
culture 3% −$30
politics 1% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Over 26¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $13 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $32 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 BUY Over 15¢ $5 7h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Over 39¢ $5 7h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 35¢ $5 7h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $0 7h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $48 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $10 7h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 24¢ $9 8h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 8h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 15h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 15h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 15h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 16h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 16h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 16h
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 4d
Will Syria win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 4d
Will Australia vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 7d
Will Portugal vs. Chile end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 7d
Will Thailand vs. Kuwait end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 8d
Will Puerto Rico vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 8d
Will Georgia vs. Bahrain end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 8d
Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 8d
Will Guatemala vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 8d
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 33d
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 33d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 3¢ $6 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-23.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +99.4% +80.4% 50% 50% +84.1%
≤30d 14 +39.8% +26.5% 36% 36% +39.1%
≤90d 23 +31.2% +18.7% 30% 30% +96.4%
all 50 -15.6% -23.6% 20% 18% +2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.6% 18% +2.0%
10% -30.9% 18% -7.7%
15% -37.6% 18% -16.7%
20% -43.7% 18% -24.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.03 · official $29.03 (match) · 93 history records