Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T05:11:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
DA 0xda71…16ed sports 13 markets active 1h ago coverage 85d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge⚠ Small sample
✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$20 (+0%) realized +$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%13W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$725per market
Trades / day0.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$2
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 54% +$15
crypto 18% +$2
other 18% +$2
culture 9% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 4 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 13 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
all 13 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 42% · top 2 56% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

85d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses13 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage85d
Avg bet$725
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 13 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $867 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 8? Jun 09 $269 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 8? Jun 09 $597 +$1 +0%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 30 $865 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 15? May 17 $865 +$1 +0%
Rockets vs. Lakers May 01 $856 +$8 +1%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 28 $855 +$1 +0%
Will "Anaconda" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Apr 22 $66 $0 +0%
Will "Black and Blue" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Apr 22 $788 +$1 +0%
Jazz vs. Lakers Apr 13 $853 +$2 +0%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 07 $850 +$3 +0%
Pacers vs. Hornets Apr 04 $849 +$1 +0%
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher world Mar 31 $848 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 100¢ $867 1h
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $269 10d
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $597 10d
Thunder vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 100¢ $865 20d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 15? BUY No 100¢ $865 35d
Rockets vs. Lakers BUY Rockets 99¢ $856 49d
Lakers vs. Rockets BUY Rockets 100¢ $855 52d
Will "Anaconda" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY No 100¢ $66 60d
Will "Black and Blue" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? BUY No 100¢ $788 60d
Jazz vs. Lakers BUY Lakers 100¢ $853 66d
Pistons vs. Magic BUY Magic 100¢ $850 72d
Pacers vs. Hornets BUY Hornets 100¢ $849 75d
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher world BUY No 100¢ $848 84d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 26 history records