Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T12:59:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DA 0xda7a…e0ee crypto 110 markets active 2h ago coverage 37d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$202 (-15%) realized −$202 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate36%40W / 70L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day5.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$45
14 days−$45
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$266
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -6.5% -15.4% 46% 43% -16.6%
≤30d 45 -10.4% -18.9% 44% 42% -18.0%
≤90d 110 -22.2% -29.6% 36% 35% -28.7%
all 110 -22.2% -29.6% 36% 35% -28.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.6% 35% -28.7%
10% -36.3% 35% -35.6%
15% -42.5% 33% -41.8%
20% -48.1% 32% -47.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -21% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -22% · $-wt -21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -23% → late -21% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$9 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$202
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses40 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)110 / 110
History coverage37d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 110 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 21 $16 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 21 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 21 $26 +$15 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 21 $36 −$11 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 21 $17 +$19 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $9 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 21 $41 −$34 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 21 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 21 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 21 $12 +$12 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 21 $12 +$15 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 21 $23 +$31 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $14 −$3 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 21 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 21 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 21 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 21 $18 +$13 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 21 $35 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 21 $25 −$10 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 21 $12 −$9 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 21 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 21 $19 +$18 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 21 $12 +$8 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 21 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 21 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 21 $33 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 21 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 21 $13 +$14 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 21 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 21 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 21 $20 +$18 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 21 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 26 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 26 $19 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 26 $34 −$33 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 26 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 26 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 26 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 26 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 26 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 26 $15 +$9 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET May 26 $30 +$28 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET May 16 $38 −$7 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 16 $6 −$6 -96%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 16 $12 −$12 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $11 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 272 history records