Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:29:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda8e…d49a
crypto · 672 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$192 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$192
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses507 / 165
Open positions0
Markets (closed)672 / 672
History coverage10d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day313.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 672 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$247
14 days−$192
30 days−$192
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$8 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$192
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 424 -2.7% -12.0% 78% 18% -12.0%
≤30d 672 -1.2% -10.6% 75% 17% -10.5%
≤90d 672 -1.2% -10.6% 75% 17% -10.5%
all 672 -1.2% -10.6% 75% 17% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover313.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 17% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 4% -19.1%
15% -26.9% 1% -26.9%
20% -34.1% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records