Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:47:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DA 0xda96…6d52 crypto 1605 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (75 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$100 (+1%) realized −$16 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate81%1308W / 297L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day75.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$14
14 days−$26
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (75 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 244 +2.1% -7.6% 89% 23% -8.0%
≤30d 1605 -0.0% -9.6% 81% 34% -9.7%
≤90d 1605 -0.0% -9.6% 81% 34% -9.7%
all 1605 -0.0% -9.6% 81% 34% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover75.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 34% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 13% -18.3%
15% -26.1% 3% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1308 / 297
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1605 / 1605
History coverage25d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day75.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1605 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records