Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:58:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xda9c…f6f4
crypto · 1418 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$691 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$887 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$887
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses703 / 714
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1417 / 1418
History coverage111d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1417 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$683
7 days−$527
14 days−$527
30 days−$527
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 51¢ 96¢ $5 $10 +$4 (+87%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$26 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$11 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$17 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$16 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$25 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$11 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$11 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$25 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$27 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $65 +$61 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$11 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$31 +173%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$883
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $12 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $17 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $13 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $28 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 399 -6.0% -14.9% 49% 49% -16.4%
≤30d 399 -6.0% -14.9% 49% 49% -16.4%
≤90d 1400 -1.9% -11.2% 49% 49% -16.3%
all 1417 -0.7% -10.1% 50% 50% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 50% -15.1%
10% -18.7% 50% -23.2%
15% -26.6% 48% -30.6%
20% -33.8% 46% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.65 · official $8.84 (match) · 3362 history records