Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:30:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdaae…a476
crypto · 297 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses149 / 148
Open positions0
Markets (closed)297 / 297
Avg bet$1
Trades / day34.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 297 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +51%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 -16.1% -24.0% 53% 48% -17.5%
≤30d 297 -9.9% -18.5% 50% 47% -16.8%
≤90d 297 -9.9% -18.5% 50% 47% -16.8%
all 297 -9.9% -18.5% 50% 47% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 47% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 43% -24.8%
15% -33.4% 34% -32.1%
20% -39.9% 24% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 726 history records