Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T17:46:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DA 0xdac6…f8bb crypto 15 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$9 (+1%) realized +$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -38% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -52% what you keep after slip
Net edge-52%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate20%3W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$69per market
Trades / day54.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$304
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-44.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -38.2% -44.1% 20% 20% -38.1%
≤30d 15 -38.2% -44.1% 20% 20% -38.1%
≤90d 15 -38.2% -44.1% 20% 20% -38.1%
all 15 -38.2% -44.1% 20% 20% -38.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.1% 20% -38.1%
10% ← realistic here -49.4% 20% -44.1%
15% -54.3% 20% -49.5%
20% -58.8% 20% -54.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 60% · top 2 92% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -39% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -38% · $-wt -39% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -56% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$90 vs −$48 · ×1.89 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.47 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses3 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day54.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 15 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 27 $37 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 27 $15 +$22 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 27 $38 −$17 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 27 $54 −$45 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 27 $86 −$19 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 27 $99 −$97 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 27 $80 −$76 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 27 $161 −$56 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 27 $135 +$162 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $70 −$67 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 27 $71 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 27 $74 −$70 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $34 +$87 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 27 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $37 −$35 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $67 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $209 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 58 history records