Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:58:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdacf…3c74
other · 1027 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$16,579 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$30,962 · open +$300
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,070
Realized+$30,962
Unrealized+$300
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses896 / 432
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$134
Open positions75
Markets (closed)1328 / 1027
History coverage129d
Avg bet$333
Trades / day19.7
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 75 History 1328 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21,939
7 days+$25,042
14 days+$27,888
30 days+$30,296
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be 1+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NBA Finals? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $1,104 $1,119 +$15 (+1%)
Will Iran Play in the World Cup? Yes 94¢ 99¢ $947 $1,003 +$57 (+6%)
Will anyone say "God" during Rick and Morty E4 S9? Yes 98¢ 98¢ $964 $961 −$3 (-0%)
Will Donald Trump attend the G7 Summit? Yes 95¢ 96¢ $892 $903 +$10 (+1%)
Will Jackson Blake win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? No 94¢ 99¢ $658 $698 +$39 (+6%)
Will some other outcome be the exact series result of the 2026 Stanley Cup? No 99¢ 100¢ $688 $696 +$8 (+1%)
Will anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9? Yes 97¢ 98¢ $546 $554 +$8 (+1%)
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? Yes 72¢ 82¢ $357 $403 +$46 (+13%)
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals be by 7 or more goals? No 97¢ 100¢ $321 $329 +$8 (+3%)
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals be by 6 or more goals? No 97¢ 100¢ $311 $320 +$9 (+3%)
Will Mitch Marner score the most goals in a single game during the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Finals? Yes 85¢ 88¢ $294 $306 +$12 (+4%)
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals be by 8 or more goals? No 98¢ 100¢ $274 $279 +$5 (+2%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend UFC Freedom 250? No 99¢ 99¢ $262 $264 +$1 (+0%)
Will Pavel Dorofeyev lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? No 99¢ 99¢ $224 $225 +$1 (+0%)
Will Jack Eichel lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? No 99¢ 99¢ $191 $191 +$1 (+0%)
Will Dubai Basketball win ABA League? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $160 $160 +$0 (+0%)
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No 87¢ 94¢ $139 $150 +$10 (+8%)
Will K'Andre Miller lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? No 99¢ 100¢ $148 $149 +$1 (+0%)
Will Cole Smith lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? No 99¢ 97¢ $148 $145 −$3 (-2%)
Will Jalen Chatfield lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? No 99¢ 100¢ $140 $141 +$1 (+1%)
Will Nic Dowd lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? No 99¢ 100¢ $132 $133 +$1 (+1%)
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? Yes 95¢ 99¢ $126 $131 +$5 (+4%)
Will Shea Theodore lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? No 99¢ 99¢ $121 $121 −$0 (-0%)
Will the announcers say "Freedom" during UFC 250? Yes 99¢ 98¢ $122 $121 −$1 (-1%)
Will Noah Hanifin lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? No 99¢ 100¢ $109 $110 +$1 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Dmitry Andreikin win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship? Jun 14 $11 +$385 +3504%
Will Kevin Durant lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Cup? Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Angola win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Seattle beat Buffalo in Super Bowl LX? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Green Bay beat Los Angeles C in Super Bowl LX? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will UTSA win the 2025 American Conference Championship Game? Jun 14 $6 −$4 -64%
Will Kristaps Porzingis lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA Jun 14 $2 −$2 -104%
Will CAR/CHI/JAX/SF/LAC/PIT win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Buffalo beat Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CAR/CHI/JAX/PHI/LAC/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championshi Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Will CAR/GB/BUF/PHI/NE/PIT win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Marcus Freeman be the next Cleveland Browns Head Coach? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Mid-American Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Richard Sterne win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open? Jun 14 $11 −$1 -9%
Will Amen Thompson lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA seaso Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Charlotte win the 2025 American Conference Championship Game? Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Champio Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Will CAR/GB/BUF/SF/NE/PIT win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Seranthony Domínguez strike out the most batters while pitching a Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Geno Stone lead the NFL in interceptions this season? Jun 14 $19 $0 -1%
Will Jordyn Tyson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Burkina Faso win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Jaccob Slavin win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brandon Stone win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open? Jun 14 $7 +$246 +3552%
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship? Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Will CAR/CHI/BUF/SF/NE/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CAR/CHI/BUF/PHI/LAC/PIT win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 N Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" first during Saudi PM events on N Jun 14 $73 +$201 +276%
Will Draymond Green lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA seas Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Travis Hunter lead the NFL in interceptions this season? Jun 14 $10 +$229 +2261%
Will LAR/GB/BUF/PHI/NE/PIT win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Los Angeles R beat Buffalo in Super Bowl LX? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year award? Jun 14 $0 +$226 +881923%
Will Quinn Hughes win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Alex Vlasic win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chaz win the 2025 Internet Invitational? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Pennsylvania events on Dec Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will San Diego FC win the 2025 MLS Cup? Jun 14 $37 −$1 -2%
Will the Cleveland Browns finish with the worst record in the NFL? Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Seattle beat Jacksonville in Super Bowl LX? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November Jun 14 $489 −$489 -100%
Will Anish Giri win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship? Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$4,470
politics 26% +$6,468
sports 17% +$3,735
world 3% +$2,122
tech 2% −$511
crypto 2% +$2,203
weather 2% +$379
culture 0% +$1
finance 0% +$24
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Cole Smith lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? BUY No 99¢ $15 33m
Will Cole Smith lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? BUY No 99¢ $34 33m
Will Cole Smith lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? BUY No 99¢ $99 33m
Will Nic Dowd lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? BUY No 99¢ $109 34m
Will Rasmus Andersson lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? BUY No 99¢ $50 37m
Will K'Andre Miller lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? BUY No 99¢ $26 40m
Will Mark Stone lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? BUY No 99¢ $50 41m
Will Mark Stone lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in assists? BUY No 99¢ $69 41m
Will Shayne Gostisbehere lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? BUY No 99¢ $40 46m
Will Shea Theodore lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? BUY No 99¢ $10 50m
Will Jalen Chatfield lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? BUY No 99¢ $10 50m
Will Jalen Chatfield lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? BUY No 99¢ $32 51m
Will Jalen Chatfield lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? BUY No 99¢ $98 51m
Will Jack Eichel lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? BUY No 99¢ $34 52m
Will Jack Eichel lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? BUY No 99¢ $99 52m
Will Brayden McNabb lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? BUY No 99¢ $96 52m
Will Shea Theodore lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? BUY No 99¢ $111 55m
Will Jack Eichel lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in goals? BUY No 99¢ $58 56m
Will Taylor Hall lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will K'Andre Miller lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? BUY No 99¢ $148 1h
Will Nic Dowd lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? BUY No 99¢ $132 1h
Will Noah Hanifin lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? BUY No 99¢ $109 1h
Will Pavel Dorofeyev lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points? BUY No 99¢ $224 1h
Will Mitch Marner score the most goals in a single game during the 202 BUY Yes 80¢ $29 1h
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? SELL No 10¢ $58 1h
Will Rhyne Howard have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 re BUY Yes 19¢ $12 2h
Will J.B. Smoove attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $50 2h
Will Kevin James attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $150 2h
Will Malik Nabers attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $50 2h
Will Tony Parker attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 100¢ $33 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)+68.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 530 +182.0% +155.2% 42% 18% -0.6%
≤30d 790 +133.0% +110.8% 56% 17% -2.7%
≤90d 1237 +89.5% +71.5% 66% 15% -4.5%
all 1328 +86.1% +68.4% 67% 15% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +68.4% 15% -6.2%
10% +52.2% 12% -15.2%
15% +37.5% 11% -23.4%
20% +24.1% 10% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,070.35 · official $11,070.12 (match) · 3500 history records