Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:51:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdae3…0863
other · 63 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$72 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$75 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$160
Realized+$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses5 / 52
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions6
Markets (closed)57 / 63
History coverage3d
Avg bet$701
Trades / day1139.7
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 6 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days+$75
14 days+$75
30 days+$75
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $32 $32 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 100¢ 99¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $25 $24 −$0 (-0%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-0%)
Trump out as President by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-0%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $24 $24 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $882 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $3,962 −$1 -0%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $1,956 −$1 -0%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 12 $370 +$24 +6%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 12 $175 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $355 $0 -0%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $781 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $25 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 12 $275 $0 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $248 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Jun 12 $366 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $73 $0 -0%
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $24 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $1,041 −$1 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 12 $692 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $596 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $538 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? Jun 12 $380 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $297 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $26 +$26 +100%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Jun 12 $701 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? Jun 12 $72 $0 -0%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $24 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $192 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $2,326 −$1 -0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $7,038 −$5 -0%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 12 $48 $0 +0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $25 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $772 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? Jun 12 $214 $0 -0%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 11 $149 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $49 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $73 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $985 −$3 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e Jun 11 $26 $0 +0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $25 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $299 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $199 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $73 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 11 $3,490 −$1 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 11 $24 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $26 $0 +0%
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $797 −$1 -0%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $908 $0 -0%
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $367 $0 -0%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $26 $0 -0%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 10 $26 $0 -0%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Jun 10 $121 +$24 +20%
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026 Jun 10 $26 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 23% +$40
politics 22% +$19
economics 18% −$2
world 18% +$21
tech 12% −$2
crypto 6% −$1
finance 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $25 6m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $40 19m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $40 19m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $25 19m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $25 19m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $14 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $14 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $46 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $46 20m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $48 21m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $48 21m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $61 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $30 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $31 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $56 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $39 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $56 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $23 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $53 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $23 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $3 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $58 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $58 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $17 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $17 22m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $6 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $17 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $6 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY No 100¢ $17 23m
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee SELL No 100¢ $8 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +2.3% -7.4% 9% 4% -9.3%
≤30d 57 +2.3% -7.4% 9% 4% -9.3%
≤90d 57 +2.3% -7.4% 9% 4% -9.3%
all 57 +2.3% -7.4% 9% 4% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1139.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 4% -9.3%
10% -16.3% 2% -18.0%
15% ← realistic here -24.4% 2% -25.9%
20% -31.8% 2% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $159.69 · official $159.69 (match) · 3500 history records