trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -18.0% | -25.8% | 33% | 33% | +27.8% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -18.0% | -25.8% | 33% | 33% | +27.8% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -18.0% | -25.8% | 33% | 33% | +27.8% |
| all | 25 | -50.8% | -55.5% | 20% | 20% | -45.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -55.5% | 20% | -45.0% |
| 10% | -59.8% | 20% | -50.3% |
| 15% | -63.6% | 20% | -55.1% |
| 20% | -67.2% | 20% | -59.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 | Over | 32¢ | 34¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+5%) |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5 | Over | 18¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5 | Over | 0¢ | 2¢ | $0 | $3 | +$3 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| IR Iran to score first vs. Belgium? | Jun 21 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Belgium to score first vs. IR Iran? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $5 | +$4 | +76% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 21 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $36 | +$95 | +262% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $17 | +$19 | +114% |
| Spread: Brazil (-4.5) | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5 | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Mar 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23? | Mar 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22? | Mar 23 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23? | Mar 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 22? | Mar 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 22? | Mar 23 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | Mar 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 28 | $149 | −$149 | -100% |