Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:51:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdaee…8559
sports · 1599 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,282 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,753 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,638
Realized+$5,753
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses895 / 534
Est. fees paid−$450
Open positions62
Markets (closed)1429 / 1599
History coverage17d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day145.4
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 62 History 1429 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$598
7 days+$2,284
14 days+$4,315
30 days+$5,753
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? No 39¢ 88¢ $99 $224 +$125 (+126%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Vitality 54¢ 100¢ $50 $92 +$42 (+85%)
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Galions 68¢ 100¢ $50 $73 +$23 (+46%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? No 84¢ 60¢ $101 $72 −$29 (-29%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 81¢ 88¢ $54 $59 +$5 (+10%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 45¢ 46¢ $55 $55 +$0 (+1%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Yes 57¢ 32¢ $96 $54 −$42 (-44%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 48¢ 50¢ $50 $53 +$3 (+5%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 48¢ 50¢ $50 $52 +$2 (+3%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 48¢ 48¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+1%)
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) Team Liquid 64¢ 64¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) LYON 36¢ 36¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 97¢ $49 $49 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 98¢ 96¢ $49 $48 −$1 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $49 $48 −$1 (-2%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? No 49¢ 89¢ $24 $44 +$20 (+81%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09? No 13¢ 100¢ $5 $38 +$33 (+669%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes 51¢ 18¢ $99 $36 −$63 (-64%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Vitality 79¢ 100¢ $20 $25 +$5 (+27%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 47¢ 48¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 57¢ 58¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+2%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 75¢ 100¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+33%)
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-09? No 40¢ 100¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+150%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 53¢ 55¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Geneva Open (Doubles): Fritz/Tien vs Arneodo/Polmans Arneodo/Polmans 51¢ 50¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $5 +$33 +669%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $10 +$3 +33%
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $5 +$7 +150%
Geneva Open (Doubles): Fritz/Tien vs Arneodo/Polmans Jun 14 $10 $0 -2%
Tabilo vs. Vacherot: Match O/U 40.5 Jun 14 $10 $0 -2%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $5 +$4 +84%
Little Rock: Philip Sekulic vs Mitchell Krueger Jun 14 $10 −$2 -17%
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $5 +$2 +49%
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs megoshort - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$3 +56%
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $5 +$2 +52%
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$2 +43%
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $2 +$5 +317%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-08? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +30%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08? Jun 14 $5 +$2 +37%
Will FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Will USL Dunkerque win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $4 +$1 +32%
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Favbet (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Gr Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Thunderpick World Champion Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Set 1 Winner: Ivanov vs Roncadelli Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Ivanov vs. Roncadelli: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$1 -12%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$1 -14%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 −$1 -17%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Ser Jun 14 $4 −$1 -17%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 −$1 -24%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 −$1 -22%
Grabher vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 14 $4 −$1 -28%
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $1 $0 +32%
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $0 $0 +25%
Spread: Henan FC (-1.5) Jun 14 $0 $0 +25%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $0 $0 +26%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dickerson vs. Kicker: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Columbus Crew vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$7,178
other 7% +$604
finance 4% +$494
politics 0% +$15
crypto 0% +$19
world 0% −$2
culture 0% +$4
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 46¢ $5 4m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 50¢ $5 5m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 52¢ $5 5m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 50¢ $5 10m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 43¢ $5 10m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $50 11m
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) BUY LYON 36¢ $51 25m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 54¢ $5 25m
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 75¢ $5 31m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 98¢ $50 44m
Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 57¢ $13 48m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 52¢ $5 48m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 54¢ $5 52m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 55¢ $5 56m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 79¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 79¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 79¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 79¢ $5 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Curaçao 47¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 39¢ $5 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 56¢ $5 1h
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY RED Canids 60¢ $50 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 34¢ $4 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 38¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 56¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $5 2h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Vitality 54¢ $51 2h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 46¢ $5 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 42¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 738 -12.6% -20.9% 48% 45% +1.9%
≤30d 1429 +10.5% -0.1% 63% 59% +6.4%
≤90d 1429 +10.5% -0.1% 63% 59% +6.4%
all 1429 +10.5% -0.1% 63% 59% +6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover145.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.1% 59% +6.4%
10% ← realistic here -9.6% 51% -3.8%
15% -18.4% 41% -13.1%
20% -26.4% 32% -21.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,637.66 · official $1,632.92 (match) · 3500 history records