Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:38:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdafd…1b09
crypto · 377 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$37
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$424
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$37
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses122 / 180
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions128
Markets (closed)302 / 377
History coverage24d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day24.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 128 History 302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$42
14 days−$42
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? Yes 2¢ 32¢ $2 $39 +$37 (+1826%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 31¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+223%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 32¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+212%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Yes 32¢ 99¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+210%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 34¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+194%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+186%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? No 47¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+113%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 12? No 48¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+108%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? No 51¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+96%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 12? No 52¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+92%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? No 56¢ 100¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+78%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? No 61¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+64%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12? No 63¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+59%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? No 62¢ 98¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+59%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12? No 63¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+59%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? No 63¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+59%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? No 63¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+59%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 13? No 63¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+59%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? No 69¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+45%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? No 70¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+43%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? No 66¢ 92¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+39%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12? No 67¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+49%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12? No 80¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+25%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 12? No 73¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+37%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? No 73¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+37%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. W Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-07? Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Londrina EC leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Canadiens vs. Sabres Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. HUS Agadir: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Map Handicap: SK.N (-1.5) vs GIANTX GC (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-07? Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs SK Nebula - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
AA Ponte Preta vs. Londrina EC: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Ducks Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Spread: Sabres (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
FCV Farul Constanţa vs. FC Metaloglobus București: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-6.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 113.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ehime FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 6? Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-07? Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-4.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 −$4 -200%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% +$90
weather 24% +$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14? BUY No 63¢ $2 3m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 14? BUY No 70¢ $2 3m
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 4m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? BUY No 71¢ $2 6m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY No 68¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 6m
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 74¢ $2 6m
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 14? BUY No 86¢ $3 9m
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 13? SELL No 71¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 10m
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 80¢ $2 11m
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 64¢ $2 12m
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? SELL Yes 72¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 15m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 60¢ $2 18m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 57¢ $2 20m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 69¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 24m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 74¢ $2 25m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 75¢ $2 27m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? SELL No 87¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 36m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY No 86¢ $2 39m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? BUY No 79¢ $2 39m
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 67¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 51m
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 13? SELL No 59¢ $2 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 293 -14.7% -22.9% 40% 37% -8.8%
≤30d 302 -14.4% -22.6% 40% 37% -9.2%
≤90d 302 -14.4% -22.6% 40% 37% -9.2%
all 302 -14.4% -22.6% 40% 37% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.6% 37% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -30.0% 33% -17.9%
15% -36.7% 31% -25.8%
20% -42.9% 27% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $424.28 · official $424.29 (match) · 3500 history records