Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:40:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DA
0xdafe…dd57
other · 16 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions14
Markets (closed)2 / 16
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 14 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 61¢ 60¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 53¢ 52¢ $15 $14 −$0 (-3%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall Hall 37¢ 31¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-16%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$3
other 27% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $2 51m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $2 51m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $2 51m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $2 51m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $2 51m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $2 51m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 53¢ $2 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 53¢ $2 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 53¢ $2 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 53¢ $2 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 53¢ $2 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 53¢ $2 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 1h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 1h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 1h
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall BUY Hall 37¢ $1 21h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 24h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 61¢ $1 26h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 61¢ $1 26h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 26h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 26h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 26h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.45 · official $40.44 (match) · 27 history records