Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:26:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdb00…fda1 sports 591 markets active 4d ago coverage 73d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,357 (-9%) realized −$1,357 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate49%290W / 301L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day12.9pace
Fees−$220est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$244
14 days−$469
30 days−$965
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% −$1,609
crypto 1% +$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -29.4% -36.1% 40% 38% -43.8%
≤30d 261 -10.8% -19.3% 48% 48% -25.7%
≤90d 591 -8.1% -16.9% 49% 48% -19.5%
all 591 -8.1% -16.9% 49% 48% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.9% 48% -19.5%
10% -24.8% 44% -27.2%
15% -32.1% 40% -34.2%
20% -38.8% 31% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$23 · ×0.8 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

73d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,357
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses290 / 301
Est. fees paid−$220
Open positions0
Markets (closed)591 / 591
History coverage73d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day12.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 591 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $8 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $8 +$7 +91%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $8 +$1 +18%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 14 $8 +$6 +74%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$6 +36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$9 +112%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$9 +112%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$11 +139%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$11 +139%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $18 −$8 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 13 $8 +$7 +90%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $39 −$23 -57%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$6 -51%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 +$15 +99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$9 -37%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 +$6 +82%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $24 +$13 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 +$9 +58%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$5 +52%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 44¢ $8 3d
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY Alliance 51¢ $8 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 36¢ $9 4d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $9 4d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 84¢ $8 4d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 36¢ $9 4d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 34¢ $15 4d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $15 4d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $8 4d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 39¢ $8 4d
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY Walczaki 54¢ $8 4d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY illwill 78¢ $9 4d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 38¢ $9 4d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 31¢ $8 4d
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY G2 Minnesota 50¢ $14 4d
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL Marsborne 99¢ $14 4d
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Marsborne 56¢ $8 4d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $8 4d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 47¢ $23 4d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Legacy 99¢ $23 4d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 72¢ $17 4d
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL EDward Gaming 99¢ $17 4d
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $8 4d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $8 5d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 47¢ $8 5d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 54¢ $17 5d
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner SELL HEROIC Academy 99¢ $17 5d
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner BUY HEROIC Academy 46¢ $8 5d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 29¢ $19 5d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $19 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1328 history records