trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +24.5% | +12.6% | 89% | 44% | -7.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +24.5% | +12.6% | 89% | 44% | -7.8% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 82% | 35% | -20.3% |
| all | 17 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 82% | 35% | -20.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.7% | 35% | -20.3% |
| 10% | -6.3% | 35% | -27.9% |
| 15% | -15.3% | 35% | -34.9% |
| 20% | -23.6% | 24% | -41.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $115 | +$11 | +10% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Netherlands O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $105 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $50 | +$57 | +114% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $101 | −$77 | -76% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $115 | +$5 | +4% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $117 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $3 | +$2 | +46% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$4 | +74% |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026? | May 01 | $265 | −$265 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Apr 22 | $260 | +$5 | +2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Apr 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 20 | $244 | +$17 | +7% |
| Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026? | Apr 19 | $236 | +$8 | +4% |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | Apr 18 | $2 | +$1 | +67% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Apr 17 | $1 | +$1 | +144% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Apr 16 | $174 | +$7 | +4% |