Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T19:25:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
DB 0xdb05…d6ba crypto 1913 markets active 0h ago coverage 73d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 72d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$6 (-0%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate52%983W / 901L
Drawdown32%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day33.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$448
7 days−$379
14 days+$193
30 days+$651
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,583
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 267 -60.4% -64.2% 21% 20% -47.1%
≤30d 889 -2.7% -12.0% 50% 50% -0.3%
≤90d 1884 +0.9% -8.7% 52% 52% -3.6%
all 1884 +0.9% -8.7% 52% 52% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 52% -3.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 51% -12.8%
15% -25.4% 49% -21.2%
20% -32.7% 45% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$8 · ×1.05 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.15 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

73d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses983 / 901
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1884 / 1913
History coverage73d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day33.1
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1884 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$4 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records