trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 27% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 39% | 6% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 39% | 6% | -9.7% |
| all | 28 | -1.7% | -11.1% | 46% | 7% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.1% | 7% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -19.6% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -27.4% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.5% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 25 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $5 | −$2 | -33% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 24 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 24 | $41 | −$1 | -2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $48 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$1 | -12% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $9 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 20 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 19 | $53 | +$2 | +3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $76 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 08 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 02 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 01 | $44 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jul 03 | $5 | −$3 | -49% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec | May 05 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 30 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Apr 29 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 26 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Georgescu banned from Romania election? | Mar 22 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| St. John's vs. DePaul | Mar 03 | $9 | +$2 | +16% |