trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -1.5% | -10.8% | 0% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -1.5% | -10.8% | 0% | 0% | -10.6% |
| all | 20 | +106.4% | +86.7% | 30% | 15% | +1.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +86.7% | 15% | +1.6% |
| 10% | +68.8% | 10% | -8.1% |
| 15% | +52.5% | 10% | -17.0% |
| 20% | +37.6% | 10% | -25.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Jun 29 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombi | Jun 19 | $9 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 19 | $252 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round | Jun 19 | $51 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary electio | Jun 19 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06? | Jun 19 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on | Jun 15 | $101 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? | Jun 15 | $41 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on | Jun 15 | $101 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on | Jun 15 | $51 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Feb 06 | $556 | +$210 | +38% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 06 | $222 | $0 | -0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 04 | $255 | +$42 | +16% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 11 | $246 | +$8 | +3% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Dec 10 | $245 | +$1 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20? | Oct 21 | $98 | +$2 | +3% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8AM ET | Oct 12 | $28 | +$62 | +223% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8AM ET | Oct 10 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Sep 30 | $1 | $0 | -2% |