Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:04:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb25…eb12
sports · 281 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20,942 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20,408 · open −$533
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,149
Realized−$20,408
Unrealized−$533
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses123 / 124
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$2,250
Open positions46
Markets (closed)247 / 281
History coverage6d
Avg bet$539
Trades / day548.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 46 History 247 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,130
7 days−$20,408
14 days−$20,408
30 days−$20,408
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 38¢ 38¢ $218 $221 +$3 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 47¢ 70¢ $132 $196 +$64 (+49%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) G2 74¢ 100¢ $131 $178 +$47 (+36%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 59¢ 60¢ $168 $170 +$2 (+1%)
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) GenOne 67¢ 72¢ $152 $161 +$9 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 70¢ $98 $123 +$25 (+25%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 30¢ $116 $113 −$4 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 14¢ 14¢ $116 $111 −$5 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 32¢ $73 $72 −$1 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 45¢ 50¢ $62 $69 +$7 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 55¢ 52¢ $71 $66 −$5 (-7%)
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) INOX Division 57¢ 50¢ $64 $57 −$7 (-11%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 35¢ 36¢ $52 $54 +$2 (+5%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) G2 35¢ 100¢ $16 $45 +$30 (+188%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 19¢ 18¢ $45 $43 −$2 (-4%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears Doosan Bears 57¢ 60¢ $40 $42 +$2 (+4%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Legacy 53¢ 54¢ $41 $42 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A STATE 83¢ 81¢ $39 $38 −$1 (-1%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score No 50¢ 52¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+3%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score No 57¢ 58¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 45¢ 44¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Yes 32¢ 32¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ 52¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-3%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 51¢ 48¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 24¢ 24¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Petrojet SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +52%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 12 $24 +$42 +174%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $39 +$34 +88%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $22 −$1 -2%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 12 $18 +$8 +47%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$28 +114%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $206 +$84 +41%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $6 +$1 +23%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $41 +$32 +77%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $613 +$328 +54%
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) Jun 12 $36 +$49 +138%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$32 +64%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $51 +$33 +65%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $5,110 +$3,131 +61%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $73 +$6 +8%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 +$5 +51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $11 +$13 +114%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $12 +$20 +160%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $21 +$11 +49%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $27 +$22 +84%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) Jun 11 $60 +$48 +80%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$9 +76%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$6 +114%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $41 +$19 +48%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 11 $5 +$6 +132%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $851 +$116 +14%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 11 $14 +$23 +165%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $4 +$4 +93%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $19 +$34 +177%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 +$4 +153%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$20,941
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $8 5m
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) BUY Leo Team 64¢ $6 5m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $7 5m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $14 5m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $14 5m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $2 5m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 50¢ $10 5m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $12 5m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 83¢ $4 5m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $23 5m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 54¢ $3 5m
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $66 15m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 82¢ $4 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $7 20m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $13 20m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 14¢ $11 20m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $14 20m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 82¢ $4 20m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $2 20m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 39¢ $24 20m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 53¢ $3 20m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $3 25m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 60¢ $9 29m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $73 30m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 53¢ $3 31m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 32¢ $2 32m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 32¢ $2 32m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 32¢ $2 34m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 83¢ $4 34m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 37¢ $7 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 247 +19.8% +8.4% 50% 49% -22.9%
≤30d 247 +19.8% +8.4% 50% 49% -22.9%
≤90d 247 +19.8% +8.4% 50% 49% -22.9%
all 247 +19.8% +8.4% 50% 49% -22.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover548.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.4% 49% -22.9%
10% -2.0% 46% -30.2%
15% ← realistic here -11.5% 42% -37.0%
20% -20.1% 36% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,149.48 · official $2,147.65 (match) · 3500 history records