Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:25:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb26…2603
weather · 1370 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$256 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$239 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$239
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses721 / 632
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions17
Markets (closed)1353 / 1370
History coverage96d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 17 History 1353 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$53
14 days−$191
30 days−$214
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? Yes 18¢ 24¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+30%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 49¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-21%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13? Yes 8¢ 4¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-44%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 13? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-86%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 12? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 12? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 12? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 12? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? No 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 12? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$3 -59%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -47%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$5 +100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -82%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +140%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $2 −$1 -75%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$13 +383%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -42%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +139%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -62%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 +$2 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -25%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 11? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -92%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -41%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 67% −$234
crypto 32% −$20
other 1% −$3
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? SELL Yes 98¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 3h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 98¢ $9 4h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? BUY Yes 74¢ $2 4h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY No 2¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju SELL No 98¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 5h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 83¢ $2 5h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY No 33¢ $2 5h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June BUY Yes 34¢ $2 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 84¢ $2 6h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL No 85¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12? SELL Yes 7¢ $3 7h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 9h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $5 9h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? SELL No 98¢ $4 9h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $4 9h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju SELL Yes 1¢ $0 9h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? BUY Yes 94¢ $2 10h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY No 53¢ $2 10h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? SELL Yes 97¢ $4 10h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? SELL Yes 97¢ $11 10h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 26¢ $2 10h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY Yes 15¢ $1 10h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? SELL No 99¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 292 -16.6% -24.5% 42% 24% -17.3%
≤30d 970 -15.4% -23.4% 42% 25% -19.9%
≤90d 1001 -15.7% -23.7% 42% 25% -19.8%
all 1353 -12.4% -20.7% 53% 27% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 27% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 15% -24.9%
15% -35.2% 12% -32.2%
20% -41.6% 10% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.87 · official $15.87 (match) · 3500 history records