Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T05:40:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
DB 0xdb26…ec56 sports 4 markets active 4d ago coverage 527d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$4 (+1%) realized +$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -7% what you keep after slip
Net edge-7%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate25%1W / 3L
Drawdown12%max
Avg bet$138per market
Trades / day0.0pace
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
politics 55% $0
sports 38% $0
other 7% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +12.0% +1.3% 100% 100% +1.3%
≤30d 1 +12.0% +1.3% 100% 100% +1.3%
≤90d 1 +12.0% +1.3% 100% 100% +1.3%
all 4 +2.9% -6.9% 25% 25% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.9% 25% -8.8%
10% -15.8% 0% -17.5%
15% -23.9% 0% -25.5%
20% -31.4% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +12% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$0 · ×27.84 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×9.28 per $1 lost it wins $9.28
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

527d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage527d
Avg bet$138
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $40 +$5 +12%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $304 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? Jan 08 $98 $0 -0%
Will another team win La Liga? Jan 07 $112 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 89¢ $40 3d
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? SELL Yes 98¢ $100 527d
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? BUY Yes 99¢ $101 527d
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? SELL Yes 98¢ $94 528d
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? BUY Yes 99¢ $94 528d
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? SELL No 99¢ $98 529d
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? BUY No 99¢ $98 529d
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? SELL Yes 98¢ $109 530d
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? BUY Yes 98¢ $109 530d
Will another team win La Liga? SELL No 100¢ $111 530d
Will another team win La Liga? BUY No 100¢ $112 530d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 12 history records