Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:06:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb3d…58f5
sports · 509 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,003 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,010 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$389
Realized−$1,010
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses260 / 212
Est. fees paid−$241
Open positions35
Markets (closed)472 / 509
History coverage21d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day140.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 35 History 472 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$1,288
14 days−$2,048
30 days−$1,010
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 49¢ 50¢ $72 $72 +$0 (+0%)
Will Legacy qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 31¢ 20¢ $93 $60 −$33 (-35%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 11¢ 80¢ $5 $38 +$32 (+623%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 67¢ 66¢ $27 $27 −$0 (-0%)
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 76¢ 76¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 43¢ 42¢ $22 $21 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Alliance 84¢ 86¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) TheMongolz 39¢ 40¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage illwill 39¢ 40¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 55¢ 55¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Leo Team 70¢ 72¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+3%)
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 58¢ 61¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+5%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) Team Falcons 71¢ 70¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-0%)
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 55¢ 54¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) Ursa 70¢ 69¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 50¢ 46¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Leo Team 45¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 52¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 57¢ 60¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+6%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 52¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 37¢ 34¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Aurora Gaming 67¢ 68¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 61¢ 62¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 49¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 55¢ 54¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $159 +$21 +13%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 +$3 +180%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$4 +76%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 +$8 +132%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $25 +$23 +91%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $25 +$20 +80%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 13 $1 +$2 +105%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $20 +$13 +65%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $115 −$115 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$4 +129%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $32 +$27 +86%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$14 +224%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $17 +$31 +181%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $39 +$62 +158%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$3 +276%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $3 +$6 +226%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$12 +414%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$7 +66%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $23 +$48 +204%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $2 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) Jun 12 $35 +$17 +48%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,040
other 0% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $4 6m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $10 7m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 27¢ $2 21m
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 77¢ $2 22m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $4 35m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $2 36m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 55¢ $2 36m
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 40¢ $2 36m
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) BUY G2 37¢ $2 36m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 40¢ $2 36m
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) BUY Vitality 51¢ $1 36m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $4 36m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $6 36m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $7 36m
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 67¢ $1 36m
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 77¢ $9 37m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $16 37m
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 75¢ $15 49m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 55¢ $2 51m
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 40¢ $3 51m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 40¢ $2 51m
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 67¢ $3 51m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $3 51m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY illwill 43¢ $1 51m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $5 51m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $7 51m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 54¢ $1 52m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 49¢ $19 52m
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 61¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 55¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 189 +3.8% -6.1% 52% 51% -32.5%
≤30d 472 +5.8% -4.3% 55% 53% -14.5%
≤90d 472 +5.8% -4.3% 55% 53% -14.5%
all 472 +5.8% -4.3% 55% 53% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover140.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.3% 53% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -13.4% 50% -22.7%
15% -21.8% 45% -30.2%
20% -29.4% 36% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $388.93 · official $388.93 (match) · 3500 history records