Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:16:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb45…b5d6
crypto · 216 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$50,906 +43%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$49,854 · open +$803
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3,426
Realized+$49,854
Unrealized+$803
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses69 / 97
Whale WR (big bets)72%
Open positions50
Markets (closed)166 / 216
Avg bet$553
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 50 History 166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$299
7 days−$1,223
14 days−$1,223
30 days−$1,022
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 2¢ 14¢ $138 $945 +$807 (+582%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $483 $350 −$134 (-28%)
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June? Yes 30¢ 34¢ $300 $335 +$35 (+12%)
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes 43¢ 22¢ $645 $322 −$322 (-50%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June? Yes 10¢ 22¢ $107 $243 +$136 (+127%)
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $173 $217 +$44 (+26%)
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $101 $132 +$31 (+31%)
Will BNB dip to $500 in June? Yes 24¢ 17¢ $180 $127 −$54 (-30%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Yes 5¢ 15¢ $41 $125 +$84 (+203%)
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 12, 2026? Yes 5¢ 14¢ $44 $118 +$75 (+170%)
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $52 $107 +$55 (+105%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $50 $80 +$30 (+60%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in June? Yes 2¢ 6¢ $20 $60 +$40 (+200%)
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes 10¢ 6¢ $100 $59 −$41 (-41%)
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250? Yes 1¢ 5¢ $10 $48 +$38 (+385%)
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $11 $17 +$6 (+51%)
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $9 $16 +$7 (+75%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+50%)
SpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? No 3¢ 4¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+50%)
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+40%)
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $6 +$5 (+950%)
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)? Yes 5¢ 8¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+50%)
LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%? Under 4¢ 1¢ $14 $5 −$9 (-63%)
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $11 $5 −$6 (-54%)
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $351 +$20 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $454 +$76 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $504 +$58 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $151 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $621 −$621 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $151 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $506 +$97 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $204 +$89 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $101 −$33 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $201 +$19 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $152 −$63 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $202 +$32 +16%
Will White House post 60-79 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $503 +$37 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $101 −$50 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $855 +$68 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$9 +9%
Will White House post 40-59 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $202 +$41 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $704 +$53 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $201 +$19 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $302 +$30 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$4 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $1,816 +$262 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $1,002 +$32 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $151 +$8 +5%
Will White House post 20-39 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $1,357 +$113 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $855 +$79 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $503 +$43 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $305 −$28 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $201 +$15 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $702 +$31 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $304 +$69 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will White House post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7PM ET Jun 10 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $53 −$53 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3? Jun 10 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? Jun 10 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 75% +$52,993
crypto 22% −$2,945
tech 1% −$54
finance 1% +$613
economics 1% −$740
world 0% +$843
politics 0% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 4m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 4m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 14m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 14m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 18m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 23m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less BUY Yes 1¢ $3 25m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 44m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 44m
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 46m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 54m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less BUY Yes 1¢ $0 58m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at le BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at le BUY Yes 1¢ $35 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $21 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at le BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at le BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
SpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? BUY No 3¢ $10 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-38.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -32.4% -38.9% 56% 17% -14.8%
≤30d 72 -31.2% -37.8% 57% 18% -13.9%
≤90d 77 -28.0% -34.8% 56% 19% -19.1%
all 166 -32.5% -38.9% 42% 17% +29.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.9% 17% +29.1%
10% ← realistic here -44.7% 10% +16.8%
15% -50.1% 8% +5.5%
20% -55.0% 7% -4.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,426.35 · official $3,426.77 (match) · 2807 history records