Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:15:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb46…56e7
sports · 913 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$931 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,661 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$142
Realized−$1,661
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses438 / 583
Est. fees paid−$99
Open positions19
Markets (closed)1021 / 913
History coverage7d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day452.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 19 History 1021 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,537
7 days−$1,661
14 days−$1,661
30 days−$1,661
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 Over 69¢ 40¢ $23 $13 −$9 (-41%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Under 45¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
ITF Monastir: Victoria Milovanova vs Aspen Schuman Aspen Schuman 46¢ 45¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 50¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Curaçao 31¢ 30¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Roberto Bautista Agut 37¢ 36¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Monte 63¢ 62¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 48¢ 46¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-4%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 67¢ 68¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs HOTU 64¢ 62¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 28¢ 28¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will EC Juventude vs. AA Ponte Preta end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Marie Mettraux Marie Mettraux 30¢ 28¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-5%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5 Under 78¢ 78¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 74¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 32¢ 34¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Set Handicap: Cecchinato (-1.5) vs Sakellaridis (+1.5) Sakellaridis 67¢ 41¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-39%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5 Over 78¢ 83¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 53¢ 54¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Shnaider 41¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Detroit Tigers 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-27? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
World Championships: USA vs. Germany Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5) Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-05? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Dplus qualify for EWC 2026? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fa Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Gaziantep FK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gill Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-20? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK end in a draw? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Luka Mikrut Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Set Handicap: Bondar (-1.5) vs Arango (+1.5) Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: CCG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$1,930
other 4% +$45
crypto 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Monte 63¢ $9 1m
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 50¢ $10 2m
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 45¢ $10 3m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY HOTU 64¢ $8 15m
Will EC Juventude vs. AA Ponte Preta end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $7 42m
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Roberto Bautista Agut 37¢ $10 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 78¢ $6 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 28¢ $7 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 44¢ $10 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $6 1h
ITF Monastir: Victoria Milovanova vs Aspen Schuman BUY Aspen Schuman 46¢ $10 1h
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Curaçao 31¢ $10 1h
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Marie Mettraux BUY Marie Mettraux 30¢ $7 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 67¢ $8 2h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5 BUY Under 52¢ $10 7h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 51¢ $10 8h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5 BUY Over 43¢ $10 8h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 55¢ $10 8h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $10 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 53¢ $8 8h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 39¢ $2 39h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 50¢ $2 40h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 39¢ $2 40h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 79¢ $1 40h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 73¢ $1 40h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 80¢ $1 40h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 36¢ $2 40h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 77¢ $1 40h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 39¢ $2 40h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 39¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1021 -7.2% -16.1% 43% 41% -26.6%
≤30d 1021 -7.2% -16.1% 43% 41% -26.6%
≤90d 1021 -7.2% -16.1% 43% 41% -26.6%
all 1021 -7.2% -16.1% 43% 41% -26.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover452.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 41% -26.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 38% -33.6%
15% -31.4% 32% -40.0%
20% -38.2% 27% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $141.84 · official $141.84 (match) · 3500 history records