trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 25 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 60% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $300 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $81 | $81 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $110 in May? | Jun 12 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in December? | Jan 09 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? | Dec 05 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | Nov 07 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | Oct 16 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.50 in August? | Sep 16 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31? | Aug 03 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30? | Jul 07 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? | Jun 04 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025? | May 16 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 in April? | May 06 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Will Campbell be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft? | Apr 17 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 by March? | Apr 03 | $21 | $0 | +2% |
| Will egg prices be less than $4.50 in February? | Mar 14 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Feb 23 | $10,656 | −$11 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Feb 15 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025? | Feb 02 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 02 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference? | Jan 24 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | Jan 24 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League? | Jan 20 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference? | Jan 17 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League? | Jan 14 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jan 08 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League? | Jan 07 | $41 | −$7 | -17% |