Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:34:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb4b…2b84
crypto · 66 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$470 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$470 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$470
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses42 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)66 / 66
History coverage1d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day153.0
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 66 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$470
7 days+$470
14 days+$470
30 days+$470
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$24 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$19 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$38 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$13 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$24 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$9 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$15 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$30 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $154 +$45 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$41 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$13 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$37 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$75 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$10 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$39 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$20 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$21 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$39 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$20 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$12 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$50 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$64 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$12 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $77 −$25 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$31 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $102 −$7 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $77 −$50 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$55 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $128 +$63 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$30 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$470
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $75 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $25 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 +9.1% -1.3% 64% 61% +8.1%
≤30d 66 +9.1% -1.3% 64% 61% +8.1%
≤90d 66 +9.1% -1.3% 64% 61% +8.1%
all 66 +9.1% -1.3% 64% 61% +8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover153.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.3% 61% +8.1%
10% ← realistic here -10.7% 61% -2.2%
15% -19.4% 53% -11.6%
20% -27.3% 33% -20.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 182 history records