Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:20:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
DB 0xdb55…602d crypto 2028 markets active 4d ago coverage 19d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (117 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$21 (+0%) realized +$21 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR57%break-even
Win rate57%1011W / 766L
Drawdown71%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day116.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$12
14 days−$22
30 days+$482
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$482
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (117 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-0.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 -1.6% -11.0% 52% 52% -4.0%
≤30d 1777 +10.5% -0.0% 57% 57% -0.4%
≤90d 1777 +10.5% -0.0% 57% 57% -0.4%
all 1777 +10.5% -0.0% 57% 57% -0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover116.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.0% 57% -0.4%
10% ← realistic here -9.6% 57% -9.9%
15% -18.3% 56% -18.6%
20% -26.3% 56% -26.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +10% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt +10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late +15% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.25 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses1011 / 766
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1777 / 2028
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day116.7
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1777 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records