Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:49:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb56…6001
crypto · 67 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses62 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day47.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -1.8% -11.1% 93% 0% -11.2%
≤30d 67 -1.8% -11.1% 93% 0% -11.2%
≤90d 67 -1.8% -11.1% 93% 0% -11.2%
all 67 -1.8% -11.1% 93% 0% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 0% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 0% -19.7%
15% -27.4% 0% -27.4%
20% -34.5% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.24 · official $5.24 (match) · 128 history records