Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb5a…3965
crypto · 100 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$93,787 +141%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$94,537 · open −$587
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 55 History 452 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$94,537
7 days+$94,537
14 days+$94,537
30 days+$94,537
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? No 98¢ 99¢ $1,977 $1,992 +$15 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? No 98¢ 100¢ $1,946 $1,973 +$27 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $1,693 $1,720 +$27 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? No 98¢ 99¢ $1,530 $1,542 +$13 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? No 97¢ 99¢ $1,367 $1,398 +$30 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? No 96¢ 99¢ $1,255 $1,291 +$36 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? No 96¢ 98¢ $1,246 $1,270 +$24 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $1,097 $1,114 +$17 (+2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $919 $923 +$4 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $849 $867 +$18 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 94¢ 98¢ $796 $833 +$37 (+5%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? No 97¢ 100¢ $801 $820 +$18 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 100¢ $751 $759 +$8 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 96¢ 99¢ $582 $599 +$18 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 100¢ $569 $571 +$3 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $545 $547 +$2 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $480 $490 +$10 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $399 $406 +$7 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 100¢ $315 $317 +$1 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Yes 91¢ 98¢ $243 $261 +$18 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? Yes $252 $258 +$7 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? No 15¢ $480 $210 −$269 (-56%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Yes 17¢ 38¢ $86 $185 +$99 (+116%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $178 $179 +$1 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 82¢ 81¢ $160 $159 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 2? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 2? Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 20? Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 21 Jun 12 $2 +$1,241 +61788%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 29 Jun 12 $1 +$339 +34066%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 2 Jun 12 $2 −$113 -5655%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 10? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 8? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 12? Jun 12 $0 +$617 +417712%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -91%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25? Jun 12 $24 −$27 -114%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 17? Jun 12 $19 −$225 -1216%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 14? Jun 12 $0 −$160 -33682%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 7? Jun 12 $0 +$240 +1256125%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1? Jun 12 $1 +$147 +14690%
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on November 12? Jun 12 $1 +$89 +10712%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 7? Jun 12 $0 $0 -83%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3? Jun 12 $2 +$171 +6996%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 11 Jun 12 $1 +$570 +72492%
Will the price of Solana be above $210 on October 22? Jun 12 $0 +$106 +40035%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 11? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 16? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 19? Jun 12 $0 $0 -67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 9 Jun 12 $10 −$5 -53%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 13? Jun 12 $1 +$539 +44087%
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on February 9? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 13 Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Elon tweet 425–449 times August 15–August 22? Jun 12 $0 +$13 +6778%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 4? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 24? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 21? Jun 12 $17 −$134 -799%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 5? Jun 12 $1 +$148 +11256%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 31? Jun 12 $12 −$8 -69%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 9? Jun 12 $0 +$44 +13906%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 7? Jun 12 $3 −$9 -279%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 14? Jun 12 $105 −$176 -168%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2? Jun 12 $5 −$49 -1087%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 9? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $117K on August 20 at 5PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 25? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -76%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 19 Jun 12 $16 −$24 -146%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 10? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 18? Jun 12 $0 +$343 +105616%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 13? Jun 12 $1 +$1,346 +101788%
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +260%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +179%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,007
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes $9 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $4 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $2 6m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $59 7m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 7m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 7m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $6 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $25 11m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $919 16m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes $7 20m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $62 28m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 43m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 44m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 44m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 45m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 45m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 45m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 46m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 46m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 47m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 49m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 49m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 54¢ $69 49m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? SELL Yes $0 51m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 51m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes $0 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+683.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 452 +766.0% +683.6% 50% 48% +5.0%
≤30d 452 +766.0% +683.6% 50% 48% +5.0%
≤90d 452 +766.0% +683.6% 50% 48% +5.0%
all 452 +766.0% +683.6% 50% 48% +5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1941.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +683.6% 48% +5.0%
10% ← realistic here +608.6% 46% -5.1%
15% +540.1% 45% -14.3%
20% +477.4% 44% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,397.80 · official $22,396.70 (match) · 3500 history records