Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T04:50:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdb69…855d crypto 1436 markets active 2h ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 10d only
✗ bot/MM pace (205 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,135 (-6%) realized −$1,135 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate93%1341W / 95L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day204.8pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$145
14 days−$348
30 days−$348
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$295
sports 3% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (205 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 624 -1.2% -10.6% 95% 0% -10.8%
≤30d 1436 -1.3% -10.7% 93% 1% -11.1%
≤90d 1436 -1.3% -10.7% 93% 1% -11.1%
all 1436 -1.3% -10.7% 93% 1% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover204.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 1% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 0% -19.6%
15% -27.1% 0% -27.4%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$11 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,135
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1341 / 95
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1436 / 1436
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$14
Trades / day204.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1436 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics Jun 18 $40 +$1 +2%
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 18 $40 +$2 +6%
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals Jun 17 $55 +$3 +5%
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 17 $40 +$2 +5%
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 17 $40 +$1 +3%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 17 $40 +$2 +4%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 17 $88 +$2 +2%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics Jun 16 $40 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $13 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 98¢ $40 1h
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY San Francisco Giants 94¢ $40 4h
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals BUY Kansas City Royals 98¢ $15 9h
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies BUY Miami Marlins 95¢ $40 9h
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals BUY Kansas City Royals 94¢ $40 10h
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY New York Mets 97¢ $40 10h
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks BUY Los Angeles Angels 96¢ $40 25h
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Toronto Blue Jays 100¢ $20 27h
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Toronto Blue Jays 99¢ $40 27h
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Toronto Blue Jays 96¢ $29 27h
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 98¢ $40 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $13 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $12 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $23 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records