Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:59:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb6e…a32b
crypto · 834 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$897 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$897 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$897
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses338 / 496
Open positions0
Markets (closed)834 / 834
History coverage46d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day18.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 834 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days−$51
14 days−$130
30 days−$205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 13¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 15¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 18¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 16¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 16¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 18¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 65¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 12¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 18¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 15¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 18¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 63¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 17¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 15¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 13¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 17¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 18¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 18¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 63¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$887
other 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 279 -15.4% -23.4% 48% 35% -13.4%
≤30d 604 -12.1% -20.4% 37% 31% -16.8%
≤90d 834 -13.4% -21.7% 41% 36% -24.4%
all 834 -13.4% -21.7% 41% 36% -24.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.7% 36% -24.4%
10% -29.2% 31% -31.6%
15% -36.0% 29% -38.2%
20% -42.3% 25% -44.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1403 history records