Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:09:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb6f…0269
crypto · 1445 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,500 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,497 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$2,497
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1210 / 232
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1442 / 1445
History coverage81d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day31.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 3 History 1442 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days−$466
14 days−$772
30 days−$2,028
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Up 96¢ 74¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Up 99¢ 44¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$2,479
other 2% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 11m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 20m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 26m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 40m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 907 -1.4% -10.8% 95% 4% -16.9%
≤30d 984 -2.0% -11.3% 93% 6% -13.2%
≤90d 1442 -2.4% -11.7% 84% 15% -13.4%
all 1442 -2.4% -11.7% 84% 15% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 15% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 7% -21.7%
15% -27.8% 3% -29.3%
20% -34.9% 2% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.92 · official $11.15 (match) · 3500 history records