trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 186 | -80.5% | -82.4% | 7% | 6% | -81.0% |
| ≤30d | 301 | -57.4% | -61.4% | 15% | 14% | -55.6% |
| ≤90d | 565 | -35.8% | -42.0% | 21% | 19% | -36.8% |
| all | 929 | -23.0% | -30.3% | 24% | 23% | -21.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -30.3% | 23% | -21.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -37.0% | 22% | -29.4% |
| 15% | -43.1% | 21% | -36.2% |
| 20% | -48.6% | 20% | -42.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $2 | −$2 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 | Jun 15 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims) | Jun 15 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | Jun 15 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers | Jun 15 | $186 | −$186 | -100% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Jun 15 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will the fight end in the Round 2? | Jun 15 | $110 | −$110 | -100% |
| Spread: Broncos (-12.5) | Jun 15 | $186 | −$186 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $329 | −$329 | -100% |
| Virginia vs. Missouri | Jun 15 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90 | Jun 15 | $44 | −$84 | -190% |
| UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $153 | −$159 | -104% |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | Jun 15 | $88 | −$88 | -100% |
| Bears vs. 49ers | Jun 15 | $398 | −$398 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Jun 15 | $75 | −$75 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Croden vs. Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) | Jun 15 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohio | Jun 15 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Emmers vs. Amil | Jun 15 | $137 | −$144 | -105% |
| UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $681 | −$681 | -100% |
| Will the fight end in Round 4? | Jun 15 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Commanders | Jun 15 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5 | Jun 15 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Brandon Royval win by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Colts vs. Seahawks | Jun 15 | $160 | −$160 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Lions | Jun 15 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix? | Jun 15 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Umamusume: Pretty Derby win Best Mobile Game at the 2025 Game Awa | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders | Jun 15 | $176 | −$176 | -100% |
| UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | Jun 15 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Frevola vs. Nelson | Jun 15 | $2 | −$37 | -1676% |
| Jazz vs. Clippers | Jun 15 | $134 | −$134 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Rockets | Jun 15 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Investment" 5+ times during the private di | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Clippers | Jun 15 | $426 | −$426 | -100% |
| Will Wuthering Waves win Best Mobile Game at the 2025 Game Awards? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | Jun 15 | $141 | −$141 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| 49ers vs. Colts | Jun 15 | $192 | −$192 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Pistons | Jun 15 | $54 | −$54 | -100% |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game | Jun 15 | $76 | −$84 | -109% |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 8 be greater than | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Nets | Jun 15 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | Jun 15 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Lakers | Jun 15 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Clippers | Jun 15 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Hokit vs. Gimenis | Jun 15 | $63 | −$63 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Bills | Jun 15 | $71 | −$71 | -100% |
| UFC 322: Mariscal vs. Sabatini (Featherweight, Early Prelims) | Jun 15 | $191 | −$191 | -100% |
| UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $346 | −$346 | -100% |
| Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision? | Jun 15 | $199 | −$199 | -100% |
| Giants vs. Lions | Jun 15 | $106 | −$106 | -100% |