Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:53:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb7c…9327
sports · 35 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$569 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$600 · open −$138
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$257
Realized+$600
Unrealized−$138
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses17 / 13
Est. fees paid−$37
Open positions5
Markets (closed)30 / 35
History coverage131d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 5 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$403
7 days+$684
14 days+$684
30 days+$684
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 56¢ 56¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 52¢ 50¢ $80 $78 −$2 (-3%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 38¢ 57¢ $40 $61 +$21 (+51%)
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 61¢ 56¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 8¢ 0¢ $155 $1 −$154 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 23¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 10¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 38¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 15¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $15 +$3 +16%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $30 +$25 +81%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $51 +$99 +194%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $20 +$13 +65%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $166 +$138 +83%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $77 +$225 +294%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$18 +60%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $52 −$11 -21%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $171 +$193 +113%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $71 +$69 +98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $127 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $146 +$12 +8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $147 +$40 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Mar 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Mar 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Mar 13 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Mar 13 $25 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Mar 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Mar 13 $3 +$7 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Mar 13 $10 +$6 +58%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? Feb 04 $150 −$6 -4%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February? Feb 04 $100 −$27 -27%
Will Solana dip to $90 in February? Feb 04 $10 −$2 -21%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February? Feb 04 $7 $0 +4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 2-8? Feb 04 $110 −$25 -22%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February? Feb 04 $200 −$26 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Feb 04 $3 −$3 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% +$534
crypto 30% −$45
other 4% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 6¢ $3 39m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 6¢ $7 39m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 6¢ $7 39m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team 6¢ $1 39m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 52¢ $81 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 56¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team 5¢ $15 1h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Leviatán Esports 99¢ $55 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 1¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 7¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 93¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 93¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 25¢ $51 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 37¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $30 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 38¢ $41 14h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Leviatán Esports 54¢ $30 14h
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo BUY EDward Gaming 61¢ $20 14h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 95¢ $99 25h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 82¢ $18 25h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 73¢ $4 25h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 73¢ $12 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 50¢ $51 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 24¢ $51 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 12¢ $40 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 5¢ $10 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 34¢ $55 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 31¢ $203 27h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 10¢ $103 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +64.6% +48.9% 75% 62% +46.9%
≤30d 16 +64.6% +48.9% 75% 62% +46.9%
≤90d 16 +64.6% +48.9% 75% 62% +46.9%
all 30 +31.8% +19.3% 57% 47% +21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +19.3% 47% +21.5%
10% +7.9% 43% +9.8%
15% -2.5% 40% -0.8%
20% -12.1% 37% -10.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $256.86 · official $256.86 (match) · 104 history records