Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T02:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
DB 0xdb7e…1fba crypto 100 markets active 1h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (471 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$3,060 (+6%) realized +$3,060 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate42%42W / 58L
Whale WR36%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$504per market
Trades / day470.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$892
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (471 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 +30.8% +18.4% 45% 45% -4.3%
≤30d 100 +22.0% +10.4% 42% 42% -7.9%
≤90d 100 +22.0% +10.4% 42% 42% -7.9%
all 100 +22.0% +10.4% 42% 42% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover470.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.4% 42% -7.9%
10% -0.2% 42% -16.7%
15% ← realistic here -9.8% 42% -24.8%
20% -18.7% 42% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +22% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 36% (≥$539) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -6% → late +50% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
33.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$693 vs −$486 · ×1.42 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,060
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses42 / 58
Whale WR (big bets)36%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)100 / 100
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$504
Trades / day470.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 100 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 21 $268 +$805 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 20 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 20 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 20 $258 +$478 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 20 $27 +$33 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 20 $237 +$355 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 20 $209 +$618 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 20 $180 −$153 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 20 $373 +$511 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 20 $217 +$255 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 20 $175 +$206 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $348 +$408 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 20 $355 +$416 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $60 +$83 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $375 −$354 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 20 $87 −$78 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 20 $290 +$298 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $857 −$857 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $82 +$192 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $921 −$921 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 20 $334 +$565 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 20 $548 +$666 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 20 $322 +$1,093 +339%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 20 $158 +$214 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $3,854 −$3,854 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 20 $45 +$49 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $2,504 +$3,259 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $1,505 −$1,505 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 20 $329 +$652 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 20 $265 +$403 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $256 +$826 +323%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $422 −$422 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $954 −$954 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $592 −$592 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $286 −$286 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $257 −$256 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $359 −$359 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 20 $76 +$282 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 20 $502 +$781 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 20 $246 +$479 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 20 $390 −$390 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 20 $152 +$355 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 20 $163 −$163 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $539 −$539 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 20 $247 −$38 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $34 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $15 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $38 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $8 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $14 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $14 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $16 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $38 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $8 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $20 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records